Best Buys & Hot Orders Review: AL East

Brad Benner USA Today Sports

Last year, I did a List review series Throughout the fall/winter season, looking back at the 2021 season for all 30 teams while also including Best Buy and Hot Take for 2022 (plus On the Rise and Off the Radar players, but I’ll probably review those in a separate piece down the line ).

Let’s see how it all turns out!

New York Yankees

Best Buy: Giancarlo Stanton

He’s the judge…obviously. Stanton gave you 31 hours in only 452 PA, but with the .211 AVG.

Hot eat: Jaleber Torres He has 30 hours a season.

By law letter it’s a bug because it only hit 24, it more than doubled its 2021 production of 9 and didn’t bring back all the SBs, either, making its first double (24 HR/10 SB) so if Hot Take Torres transfers to your board, You are happy with the results. I know there have been a billion jokes about his age, particularly when he broke 38 hours at 22, but it’s worth remembering that he’s entering his 26-year season next year. While it may not hit that number again, it has an uptrend at a fair price.

Tampa Bay Rays

Best Buy: Brandon Lowe

Three stints of IL (2 linked to the same lumbar problem) limited Lowe to just 65 games making him one of the biggest stats in the Top 100 last season (The 83rd ADP in the main event). The back seemed to exacerbate the blackout because he had a .203 ISO before his first IL assignment, down from a .263 career ISO coming into the season, and then only .119 during the rest of his season (only 133 PA). They can go on and on and wreak havoc across multiple seasons, so keep an eye out for Lowe’s off-season news. He is expected to avoid surgery which is an encouraging sign.

Hot eat: Franco’s walk It is a disappointment in 2022.

I was Stubborn in my lack of interest in Franco And it was really about paying too much (71st ADP) for a profile that lacked outstanding fantasy skills. Injury plays a big part in it ending up being a disappointment, but even if we generously double its output from 83 games, it’s still a 12 HR/14 SB with a .277/.328/.417 streak. I don’t always refuse to bet he’s coming on like this, but he didn’t have a carry gear that would make me comfortable jumping on him. I’m not sure the opponent would be enough to target him because he would probably still be inside the top 100 even with the depth in the SS.

Toronto Blue Jays

Best Buy: Bo Bechet

This was pretty boring because I marked the first round as a top buy and needed a nuclear SEP (.406 AVG, 7 HR, 4 SB at 142 PA) to hold itself in the 2023 first and second round. The low SB-off is a bit worrisome, althoug. After a massive 25-for-26 season last year, he’s only gone 13-for-21 this year. He had a 75% success rate in the second half and the new rules for 2023 could boost more SBs (pitch clock, kickoff rules, bigger rules) so I’m hesitant to go ahead with Bichette in the fall though there are some Questions about his speed in the past.

Hot eat: Hyun Jin Ryo 류현진 Rebounds with the afternoon season 3.00 pm.

After two bad starts in April, forearm inflammation put him on IL for a month (a prognostic). On his return, he was out of 2.75 pm in four starts, so it turns out I was 100% right. No more questions!

Unfortunately, Ryu had to get Tommy John surgery after the start on June 1, ending his season and eating half of 2023. Heading into his 36-year season with a devious health record, we may have seen Ryu’s last season as an arm-related fantasy.

Baltimore Orioles

Best Buy: Anthony Santander

Start with a nice win! Santander found that elusive health hit 33 HRs at a high functional level of 647 PA. Who knows how much he would have hit if the Oriole hadn’t extended the wall of the LF, pushed it back 30 feet and raised it to 12 feet (+5). It still runs 15 human resources in-house, matching its 2021 total but needs an additional 123 employees to get there.

Hot eat: Tree Mancini Up to 40 hours in 2022.

Well, 1 out of 2 with Baltimore. Maybe if you realize that the wall LF will move half The home-run Camden Yards park worker—from #1 at 153 (meaning a heart rate of 53% more than average) to #26 with a 77—I wouldn’t have been so bold with Mancini. I could generously double his home production to 20 and still be 12 years short of his figure, so I never had a chance. Perhaps the most frustrating thing is that it went wrong with Houston (77 wRC+) which is the opposite of what I thought it would.

Boston Red Sox

Best Buy: JD Martinez

Even if I knew power was going to drop pretty badly across the league in 2022, I don’t think that would have knocked me out of Martinez. He’s someone I’ve seen as strong at any time, he’s a player among the strong leaders regardless of the league’s scoring environment. Instead, his ISO dropped by 58 points to .174 which is exactly in line with .175 he set in 2020, but it’s been largely suggested that the lack of in-game video was behind that fall. He rebounded with a 0.232 ISO in 2021 which revitalized confidence in the 34-year-old, especially as he regained eligibility, but that didn’t come together.

His barrel rate settled at 12%, but lost 8 points in heavy hit rate (41%) and 3 mph in exit velocity (89 mph). I’d caution against relying too heavily on the Exit Velo compound, but I don’t think it was unacceptable to point it out when it was professionally low. Now entering his 35-year season and once again only UT, the price will drop, but will that be enough to get him back in again? I did a draft already and he went in the late 15th round in the 221st pick. Even if that wasn’t where he landed all season recruiting, it sure would be a lot cheaper than his 97 ADP from 2022.

Hot eat: Garen Duran He gets 25 SBs.

25 on the button! Oh man, I’m good at this!

What does the 18 mean in Triple-A “don’t count”?? Well, fiiiine…I’d probably give myself more credit if Duran’s pace hit the target, but 7 SBs in 223 PA only top 20 in an entire season. still there some Interesting potential for a turnover, but he will have to cut hits (28% in 2022; 31% in 335 MLB PA) and get an OBP over 0.300 if he is to gain a mixed link in the league.

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