The quarter-final matches in Astana are packed with the best talent, including Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev in first place. Adrian Mannarino looks like he’s out of the ordinary in this group of eight, but he just passed Carlos Alcaraz’s David Goffin victorious. Almost anyone else who wins the title will come as no surprise, but can Mannarino make an unlikely bid to win the title? We make calls.
ATP Astana Quarter-Final Predictions
Andrei Rublev vs. Adrian Mannarino
Face to face: 1-1
Mannarino – often described as the “French bluff” – is handy at causing a surprise every now and then, but he has a very low winning percentage against the top 10 and had a lucky draw here in Astana giving him two of his former best players yet to be able to Coming back fully from injuries, even though David Goffin has just been out Carlos Alcaraz. Rublev had a similar warm-up in the first two rounds, taking two qualifying matches, but hasn’t played otherwise since the US Open. H2H was split, and both games were played on hard ground in Moscow, with Mannarino causing the Russian bother at home only last year. I think Rublev will take it, but Mannarino can’t be overlooked.
Prediction: Rublev at 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas x Hubert Hurkacz
Head to head: Tsitsipas 6-2
Tsitsipas is trying to get back on track after two back-to-back landslide defeats, the first of which was a loss to rookie but low-ranked Borna Coric in the Cincinnati Finals, followed immediately by a massive first-round loss at the US Open to Daniel Galan. . His few results have been mixed since then, but 2022 has been otherwise great for the Greek, and a win here would tie him with Carlos Alcaraz for the most wins of the season with 52. Hurkacz hasn’t looked great in the two months since his run to the Montreal finals, and he’s late in H2H. However, the hard court record for these two years is nearly identical, and this should be a good game.
Prediction: Tsitsipas in 3
Daniel Medvedev vs. Roberto Bautista Agut
Face to face: Bautista Agut 4-1
Medvedev has looked weak this month or so, but is back on track after two respectable victories over Emile Rossovoori and Albert Ramos-Vinolas. He faces a player in Bautista Agut who has caused him problems in the past, and oddly enough, he has yet to beat the Spaniard in three attempts on tough courts. Bautista Agut hasn’t looked better than average for the past several months, but he raised his head above the water with a first-round victory over Felix Auger-Aliassime. In the season as a whole and on the hard courts, the records of both players are very similar, with a slight advantage over Medvedev. I think this would be where the Russian would break that tough Spanish court spell, but I think he could have a lot of trouble doing that.
Prediction: Medvedev at 3
Novak Djokovic vs Karen Khachanov
Head to head: Djokovic 6-1
Khachanov has continued his good form from the US Open, and hasn’t struggled with downtime for a few weeks, but he can’t be too happy about his draw here in Astana. While Rublev and Mannarino come across a combination of qualifiers, lucky losers and wild cards, Khachanov attracts Maxim Cressi, Marin Cilic and now Novak Djokovic. But if the Russian is going to overtake the super Serb, that’s the kind of level he has to be. For his part, Djokovic looks unbeatable, having lost only six matches in the first two rounds. He doesn’t seem to struggle with playing part-time, and leads the H2H 3-1 hard court. I think he will take it, but Khachanov’s form requires a set.
Prediction: Djokovic at 3
Feature image via Getty.